12 Straight! Going on
The streak is over! In the toilet bowl the 0-12 Luchesse's Cousin defeated the 2-11 StraitOuttaGronkton to get their first win. Looks like kicking it in Colorado City really helped Jesse figure out his managerial woes. We will be covering his team later on in the post where we will explore how terrible this year has been.
11 Straight! Going on
We all doubted him. We all thought Steve couldn't do it. He has been doubted his whole life. I remember when he tried out for the leading role in junior high musical to be a jock I doubted him. Boy did he prove me and the entire population of a hick town wrong. You can sing and dance, put on make-up, and lead a play and not do any of that very well... He did it again! He beat the streaking comet that we call Brent or as some people call him, "LOCO PENDEJO". I should say that 11 straight is nothing to barf on.
Way to go Steve!
Ben - Cobra Kai (6-7)
Current Power Ranking: 4
Average Margin of Victory: 31.8
Strength of Schedule: 1
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to Wataaaaah!
Q1: The first quarter of this season put this team in a hole that was difficult to overcome. Averaging just 96 points over the first four games led to 1-3 record as he faced the second most difficult schedule over that length of time.
Q2: The following quarter he got some relief as he had the 4th easiest schedule, but also was the second highest scoring, averaging over 120 pts a game. However, he went 2-2 as he faced Mustache Salad in Week 7 and laid an egg in Week 8.
Q3: This haas been this team's best, averaging 116 pts/game, with a low of just above 100. He has gone 3-1, despite having the most difficult schedule.
This is the best team that never was. He had the ability to really put up some big numbers, but costly bad performances led to a season of regret. He is the only team to have scored above 140 three times and was just behind Brent in scoring over 120 at six times (Brent was seven times). Timing is everything in fantasy football, dancing, and asking your wife if you can spend a week in Cabo with your friends. Ben lacked the timing and it costed him dearly.
He enters the consolation bracket at as the number one seed and is leading the league in both weighted and moving averages at 126.62 and 119.63.
Brent - Mustache Salad (11-2)
Current Power Ranking: 1
Average Margin of Victory: 21.4
Strength of Schedule: 5
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to Quiddity of Luck
Q1: Since losing Week 1, Brent has't looked back. He led the league in scoring and had the fourth most difficult schedule. This quarter was his most inconsistent, as his standard deviation was at almost 19. His high of 143 in week 3 is still his best mark.
Q2: More of the same, only he went 4-0. His standard deviation came down significantly as he posted marks with in the 120-130 range. This was his best quarter YTD, as he again led the league in scoring.
Q3: His opponents got weaker as he had the seventh most difficult schedule, or the seventh easiest schedule - how ever you want to look at it. His performance also declined as he was third in scoring.
Just when I thought this team would decline they would get better. Stringing 11 straight is no joke. Make no mistake, this is a legit team. Sure luck played a part in it. It probably paid a part in you breathing right now. You could have been unlucky and gone to Chiptole this last month and gotten sick and died... but you didn't. What the law of averages and studies on luck show is that there will be a return to normalcy over time. His two losses were just that... a return to earth. He is the obvious frontrunner, but anyone can beat anyone in this cruel game.
Caleb - Bayo'wolf (5-8)
Current Power Ranking: 12
Average Margin of Victory: 18.7
Strength of Schedule: 6
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to Persian Lives Matter
Q1: His best four game streak so far as he beat his projected score twice.... Something he hasn't done since. Week 3 he posted his highest score YTD at just over 130. He went 2-2 vs the 5th easiest schedule.
Q2: The decline for this team begins. While he went 2-2 he was the second worst in scoring and faced the sixth most difficult schedule.
Q3: Further decline as he faced the third most difficult schedule and his team improved marginally. He goes 1-3 and averages just over 72 pts/game. His +/- total was at whopping -122. Put a fork in it; this turkey is done.
Despite facing a more challenging schedule this team didn't find ways to improve. At a 4-4 record going into the third quarter Caleb had a chance to make the playoffs, but his team didn't get better. His descent into oblivion looks just like a child on playground slide who is out of his depth. Who knew fantasy could be so damning.
He is the 6th seed in the consolation bracket and faces a confident Quiddity of Luck, who just stopped the number one team last week.
Cameron - Wataaaaah! (5-8)
Current Power Ranking: 9
Average Margin of Victory: 24.3
Strength of Schedule: 2
Current Win Streak: 1, beat Cobra Kai
Q1: Was shown some love as he went 3-1, which was one of the best starts in the league. He faced tough competition as his +/- was almost at negative 10.
Q2: His team actually improved, scoring the third most points, but he also had the third most difficult schedule and went 1-3. He was almost at +35 points. This inflated score was due to his ridiculous league record high of 172 points. Without this score he would have been the second worst in scoring..
Q3: Back to reality with an 0-4 stretch. He faced solid competition, but it was his worst series.
The improvement year over year for this team is simply incredible! Overall he has had the second most difficult schedule and has won more games in his first four games than all year last year.
As he defeated blood this past week, he will have to do so again, as he faces mokes-a-lot as he is the fifth seed in the consolation bracket. So, he must ask himself, "Can a house divided stand?"
Christie - mokes-a-lot (6-7)
Current Power Ranking: 11
Average Margin of Victory: 12
Strength of Schedule: 8
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to Mystery Meat
Q1: This was her best stretch and one she will look back on and wish she could have replicated over and over. She put up the 4th most points and faced decent competition (6th most difficult schedule) and was able to muster out a 2-2 record. Nothing to scoff at as she averaged 103 pts/game. Her next two quarters would not be as kind.
Q2: While still able to go 2-2 she faced easier competition, but failed to improve her scored as it declined by 4%.
Q3: Her worst performance of the year. Averaging just over 68 pts/game, a reduction of 30%. This team wanted to be anywhere else besides the field of play as she went a total +/- of -72.
And yet, after a serious decline, she had an opportunity in the final games to secure a playoff spot, even ruin the chances of another. She was unable to do so. I have a feeling that more of the same is coming as her sweetie pie will crush her dreams of hoisting the consolation trophy.
Are you even still reading this????
Dan - Rolling Gazelems (9-4)
Current Power Ranking: 5
Average Margin of Victory: 31.3
Strength of Schedule: 14
Current Win Streak: 2, last win over Kaeptivating
Look, going quarter by quarter is getting taxing, and I doubt you care that much. Here is the summary: The Rolling Gazelems have faced a very easy schedule - overall the easiest - but were able to be at the top five in scoring two of the three qtrs. Their 2nd qtr was their best as they averaged 116 pts/game and were +98.06. After going 2-2 in their first four games they have gone 7-2. Nice!
This team is just above the league average in average pts scored a game and is trending downward compared to both league averages and medians in moving averages. Their most recent score of 116 is a bright spot, but its the first time in three weeks that they got over 100 and beat their projected score.
He faces the weakest seed in the first round of the playoffs in Mystery Meat.
David - Mystery Meat (8-5)
Current Power Ranking: 7
Average Margin of Victory: 30.5
Strength of Schedule: 9
Current Win Streak: 4, last win over mokes-a-lot
You aren't reading, so I will spare you most of the details. However, I will tell you that over the past three games I am surprising myself. I have beaten my projected scores by an avg. 25 pts. Thats pretty good! Unfortunately, I don't think I can keep it up. I am just happy I made it to the playoffs!
Good as of late.. but can that last? I worked for Toby Keith.
Jamie - Persian Lives Matter (9-4)
Current Power Ranking: 8
Average Margin of Victory: 27
Strength of Schedule: 13
Current Win Streak: 1, beat Bayo'wolf
Q1: Do you care? Honestly, do you? Tell me and I will revisit this.... OKAY. I'll give you some tidbits. This was a solid starting point. He went 3-1 with the second easiest schedule, but he was smoking teams as he was +77.86.
Q2: More of the same. He improved his scoring by ~8% and was +79.78 and went 3-1. He did benefit from facing weaker competition, but he made the most of it.
Q3: His worst stretch as he went 2-2 and his production went down by over 15% and only was +14.
After having one of the most favorable schedules, he faces the toughest matchup in the first round of the championship bracket in In Russ We Trust, who is looking very good as of late... You can read about it in his section if you care. I'm guessing you don't.
John - All Day Some Days (6-7)
Current Power Ranking: 6
Average Margin of Victory: 27.8
Strength of Schedule: 3
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to In Russ We Trust
Q1: A 1-3 start really hurt this playa. He wasn't able to really get it going or prove to me that he belonged in the conversation of "he could be around in the very end" that I have on a weekly basis with the Paul from downstairs at work. Paul and I both knew it, John.
Q2: He improved though. His production went up by 12% and even faced the second most difficult schedule and scrapped his way to 3-1 record. His lone loss and frankly the inflated "strength of schedule" came from week a week 5 beat down at the hands of Ben who put up 158. Without this his S.O.S would have been like 10 or something.
Q3: With a chance, a real chance to turn his team into an all day, all days team, he didn't! His team faced stout competition and went 2-2.
In the final week he had an OUTSIDE chance to make the playoffs. He couldn't. It is good he gets a bye in the consolation bracket to rethink his strategy and his life goals. Prove me and Paul wrong, John. Do it. I dare you.
Scott - In Russ We Trust (8-5)
Current Power Ranking: 3
Average Margin of Victory: 29.3
Strength of Schedule: 4
Current Win Streak: 1, beat All Day Some Days
I don't know if you read this blog either... so... I'm gunna give you an overview. This team has been all over the map with HIGH standard deviations and a difficult schedule, they've managed to get into the playoffs. When it mattered, they showed up. This final qtr they went 3-1 (previous qtrs they went 2-2 in each) and were one of the top scoring teams in the league.
This team is well above league averages and medians in scoring and looks to have rebounded in the final stretch. His scoring swings are of concern, but comparing his team vs Jamie looks like this:
Which basically shows the advantage to Scott.
Sean - Kaeptivating (9-4)
Current Power Ranking: 2
Average Margin of Victory: 25.9
Strength of Schedule: 12
Current Win Streak: 0, lost to Rolling Gazelems
The crazy thing here is the consistency this team has been able to do week after week, quarter after quarter and the numbers show that. He has had the lowest standard deviation all year and has been in the bottom three every quarter. He has averaged just around 110 pts/game in each qtr and is averaging just over 107 on the year. He has beaten his proections 10 times and only missed them three times...His most recent loss was his worst performance and the first time he registered a score below 100.
In all this consistency is the knock I have had on this team, the inability to put up the big numbers. Of the playoff teams in the championship bracket, only two haven't scored above 130. Mystery Meat and Kaeptivating. That isn't company you want to keep.
Last but certainly, not least.
Steven - Quiddity of Luck (6-7)
Current Power Ranking: 10
Average Margin of Victory: 24.5
Strength of Schedule: 10
Current Win Streak: 2, most recent win over Mustache Salad
Q1: He would never match his output in week 3 of 146. This team seemed to struggle to really get some consistency as their first four weeks they had a standard deviation of 34. He faced the middle of pack competition, but only averaged 98 pts/game.
Q2: With production falling even lower, he didn't even have a game over 100 in the next four games, but was able to go 2-2.
Q3: Despite improving by 13% he faced the second most difficult stretch and went 1-3.
He ended the season with a bang, but it was a little too late for him. He has a favorable matchup in Bayo'wolf, who is trending in the opposite direction. You'll see that Caleb has beaten his projected score just two times, while Steven has done that five times... and of those five times, he beat it by 10+ pts, Caleb has done that just once.
I hope the $10 I gave to Brent goes to some stipend or something to compensate you for the time you dedicated to this blog.
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