Sunday, November 8, 2015

Contenders

Knowing what we know from the last post, that scoring > 108 = winning (most of the time), we are able to identify teams that will more than likely be in the playoffs. There are only a handful of teams that are scoring above that threshold. Additionally, there are an even smaller amount of teams that are scoring above the threshold to beat Brent, > 138.

A true contender is a team that is putting up high marks multiple times. I am going to put aside the standard deviation metric in this post, because explosive teams tend to have a higher standard deviation as they fall back down to earth. For simplicity's sake lets look at the multitude of times a team is hitting high marks.

There are six teams that have scored > 110 more than three times, Brent with 6x's; Ben and Scott H with 4x's; Sean, Jamie, and Dan with 3x's.

Please see the table below:

Pts Scored110120130140150
Caleb11100
Steven11110
Ben44221
Scott H43200
Sean32000
Jesse00000
Christie10000
Brent66310
David21000
Cameron21111
Jamie32100
Dan31111
Scott K10000
John21000

Brent has scored above this mark the past four weeks and shows no signs of letting up.

Ben has been able to hit over 110 three out of the last four weeks. This is a good sign for him, despite his poor performance last week, as he only scored above the 110 mark just once in his first four weeks. Finishing strong play a major factor for these remaining games.

Scott H has been a little more inconsistent, as he has only been above our bogie mark for consecutive weeks just once. However, two of his total four times have come the past two weeks. Positive note, but we will see how this plays out.

Sean of his three times he has never done it consecutive weeks, but has been able to do so two times in the last four weeks. Sean looks to be a sure lock for the playoffs, but he has never truly exploded. His season high is 122.5. He can rest assured that to beat him it will still be difficult as he has never scored 102 points.

Jamie two of his last four games have been greater than 110 and last week posted his season high 138.74. He has got the fire power, but I wonder when he drops his score can he still get the W. His other two scores over the past four were below 92 points. Chances of winning with that score becomes very challenging.

Dan, again, as previous stated in an previous post Dan and Jamie are very similar teams. Dan got his high score last week at 153.94. He has scored above 110 twice in the last four games. However, unlike Jamie his down scores have been above 92.

I see these teams as playoff teams. The ability to score the high mark is huge. As of this moment the teams that are the playoffs are as follows: Brent, Sean, Jamie, Danny, Cameron, and Scott. Anything could happen, but I see Ben replacing Cameron in the race for the 'ship. Where they end up in seeding is anyone's guess.

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