Friday, August 21, 2015

JJJL by the numbers 2014

Week five is in the books and with only nine more weeks to go before the end of the season, it is time to look at who are contenders, who are challengers, and in regulation.

First, lets compare the head to head match-ups of the High Desert League and the Sierra League


The Sierra League looks to be the more competitive league, with a higher average team rank, total points scored and wins against the opposing league. The Total Pts Agnst category shows how much more pts the Sierra League pours in than the High Desert League. 

See below for a table breaking down the league statistics further. 


Contenders
  1. Quixotic Prayer (4-1) - Even with a pupcake schedule (in fact, the easiest in the league), he has absolutely destroyed his opponents by an average score of 37.1 points and leads the league in scoring with 618.58. He is riding two of the hottest players in fantasy football with Andrew Luck and DeMarco Murray. He is averaging 123.72 pts a game, has never scored below 100 pts, and is beating his projected score on average by +18%. I can't see anything but injury limiting him. 
  2. Cobra Kai (4-1) - It wasn't until this week that his boy Peyton finally made an appearance - he blew up for 40+ pts (not that he needed it) - and scored the highest point total to date in the league with 149.16. But it has been his running back play that has kept his team strong; in his only loss (week 4 when Duke erupted for 131 pts), his running backs scored below 20. Whether its the Bell boys, West (who?), or A. Smith (WHO?!), he is seeing some great production. He also has had A. Jeffery and G. Olsen step up. When this team is firing on all cylinders, they are going to be extremely hard to beat. He has never dipped below 98 pts in a week, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 19.17, is beating his projected score on average by +11%, and is the only team in his division with a winning steak. 
  3. Breath Taking Ruin (2-3) - Do not let her record fool you, she has averaged 103.88 pts/game (only 4 teams in league average > 100 pts/game) and is outscoring opponents by an average margin of 14.78. She has had some very close games, losing by a total of 10.02 pts over her three losses, and just needs to find the right lineup. She is just under he projected points -2%. J. Cutler has been a gem for her (and is on pace for a career best) and J. Jones and M. Forte has lived up to their billing. If the season ended today, she would be out of the playoffs, so it is imperative that she starts getting some W's. 
  4. Duke 91 & 92 (4-1) - Just last week I had him in my rankings on just the outside, but the last two weeks may be the beginning of his quest for back-to-back. His lone loss was an aberration at the hands of Pippa Hills. He is averaging 103.11 pts/game and is beating his projected score on average by +7%, despite the fourth most difficult schedule, outscoring opponents by an average margin of about 5 points a game. 
Challengers
  1. kindergarten kops (3-2) - Averaging just under 100 pts/game, beating projections by +3%, and outscoring opponents by an average margin of 10, this is a steady team that will be competitive week in and week out. While he hasn't had eye popping numbers (highest score was week 4 at 119.24 and lowest 91.84) he's got some solid players that can go off in A. Brown, A. Ellington, J. Charles, and dare I say it, T. Romo. This team has some real potential, despite having the third weakest schedule.  
  2. Son of Luchesse (3-2) - Since the very beginning he has shifted the attention to everyone else with his "power rankings," but he's going to be real threat down the line. Despite having a poor week (which everyone has had or is going to have) he has averaged 99.57 pts a game, He has left a considerable amount of points on the bench (+70 in week 1 and week 3), largely due to having Matt Ryan riding the pine (of total possible points left on the bench, he is above the league average of 30% with 36%). But he put that asset to work, creating the first trade of this year, taking V. Cruz straight up. He is averaging just under 100 pts/game, but has one of the weaker schedules in the league and is outscoring opponents by average margin of just under 10. 
  3. Mrs. Starr (3-2) - Narrow victories over two of the top teams (Quixotic Prayer week 1 and Breathtaking Ruin in week 2 by .2 pts!) he has done little else. This team is living off of their early successes and is under performing projected points on average by -6% and has chalked up the second lowest score in a week of 54.14 in week 3 (Paragon Heroes has the lowest with 47.5). They have had the third most difficult schedule and are being outscored by an average margin of just over 19, with teams averaging 113 pts/game. This team is faltering and need to change its course. 
  4. Tuesdays w/Megatron (2-3) - Over manages. He loves to leave points on the bench, with the highest in the league of about 54 pts/game and 37% of total possible points. His scoring has been sporadic and averages just over 93 pts/game and is below his projected points by -9%. He is close, he is only being outscored on average by about 5 pts/game, but he needs to revisit some managing classes.  
Regulation 
  1. Bayo'wolf (0-5) - With just too many tough losses to overcome, I can't see his luck and or record changing that much. He has a good team, but caught too many bad breaks. He is averaging about 95 pts/game, but has the second most difficult schedule, with opponents averaging 114.75 pts/game. He is just under his projected scores with -3% weekly average. 
  2. Kaepivating (1-4) - Averaging about 89 pts/game and being outscored by about 7.5 a week has made this a difficult season for him. His bench accounts for just 12% of total possible points scored, so its not like he has a reserve to tap into, this is the best that he has. 
  3. Pippa Hills (3-2) - Counterintuitive to have a team with a winning record on the bottom of the pile, but he has an easier schedule, but averages just 84.9 pts/game and is getting outscored by an average margin of just 10 pts/game. He has scored over 80 pts just twice and is under performing projected points on average by -11%. 
  4. Paragon Heroes (1-4) - Rough. Underperforming his projected points by an average of -24% a week, this season has been ugly for him. Not only his players not playing, he has drawn the most difficult schedule, with opponents averaging just over 115 pts/game. 

Fantasy Football: Team Name Tournament for the Javaris Jamar Javarison-Lamar League 2014

Coming up with a good fantasy football name is just as important as drafting a good team (kinda). Below is the 12 team names for the Jamar Javarison-Lamar League (click the link for the origin of our league name). I have identified four critical characteristic that a team name must have. Each category is weighted from 1-5, 1 being the best score. I have seeded the teams according to the lowest score derived.  
  1. Creativity - The name must be original. It has to be good and you can feel it when something is original and when something is not. 
  2. Word Play - Puns and play on words, especially sports related, is one of the more important aspects of a team name. 
  3. Definition? - If I have to ask you what your team name is, that isn't a good sign. Wanna show your intellect? Do it on the field, er, with your point scoring abilities and win games!
  4. Comic - It has to have some humor in it. Fantasy is about having a good time. No one loves the name like: Pool of Blood or Destroyers. C'mon, don't take yourself so seriously. 



To just highlight a few of the names above.
 - Quixotic Prayer: You are going to have to ask what that means, but after you understand its funny. Thus the 5 score for 'Definition?' and score of 1 for 'Creativity'; he had to look that up. However, the word play wasn't as strong, but it's decently funny... You see where I'm going with this?

Cobra Kai: Almost everyone knows the reference. Its funny. It is semi-creative. No word play.

Son of Luchesse: If you were in the league last year or rode bus #38, you get it. Since most of the teams are familiar with this name, it gets a high score comic score, but you may have to define it. It also reminds me of how horses are named.

kindergartner kops: Got the alliteration in there. Funny to think about little children as cops. Maybe they are children cops in kindergarten, who patrol the classroom or they are actually patrolling the street, or maybe its really adults in a classroom, or maybe its the pre prequel to Baby Geniuses.

Bayo'wolf: Once you know what it means, it's good, but not funny. You could be confused with the story, but maybe that's the point or is it? It is actually representative of Colin Kaepernick, who plays professional for SF - thus the bay; and he played college ball at the University of Nevada-Reno - the Wolfpack.

Game of Tuesday: Came to life in the middle of a draft! While it was kind of an idea of another, we still give em the points. But it kind of makes me think of Morrie.

Now for the bracket, let's see if there were any upsets in the bracket.
Javaris Jamar Javarison-Lamar 2014 Best Team Name Tourney

Look, I'm not going to go through each one of these rounds or any for that matter. I did way too many revisions on the darn thing! I'm tired of looking at it and talking myself out of things. It is what it is. Kaeptivating is champ.