Monday, September 21, 2015

Week 2


First off, how weird is the NFL? It all started with that wacky game in Kansas City and ended with a snooze fest in Indy. Romo got hurt. Bradford sucks. Colts look terrible. The Pats shoot it out with everyone. The Steelers are a fantasy dream. Jacksonville won. Manzel looked good. Just odd.

For our league though... This week was projected to be a wider spread between scores than Week 1, i.e. the standard deviation was projected to be about 6 compared to last weeks of 5.39 The actual standard deviation was 17.74 this week... Meaning, we are all over the map. The league averaged 95.65 pts per team this week. The high was NOT Kaeptivating with 121.58 pts... It was Mustache Salad with 124.5Cobra Kai was just behind with 121.26. The biggest blowout was Mustache Salad vs Tuesdays w/Megatron with the margin of victory of 43.88. The average margin per victory was 21.49, over 36% higher than last week.. So I guess yahoo was right with their projections. Graphs will be up Week 4-5.

The game of the week was Wataaaaah! and Bayo'wolf. With just a tenth of point difference it was an (I have been waiting to say this for so long) offensive struggle! For about 20 mins on Sunday night Bayo'wolf had the game won. Then, as suddenly Bayo'wolf had it won, he lost it. The fantasy gods said no. Stat correction! I try not too look at the bench of teams in a matchup...but these teams left a lot of fire power on the bench (Wataaaaah! with Cooper at 20+ and Bayo'wolf with Kaepernick at 33+). Hopefully Wataaaaah! didn't believe me about Oakland.

  • Both teams were probably expecting their TEs to produce as they did the past week, but it was hard for an apparition to show again - I'm looking at you Seferian-Jenkins last week's 26.5. However, Bayo'wolf''s WR Randle has scored just 3.2 pts over three games. Not good. Both teams have quite a few injuries so I would expect them to bounce back. However, in the short term it will be rough road for Wolf, who has missed his projected scores by 10.78 and has yet to score over 80 pts. Wataaaaah!, on the other hand, faces a weak team in CaustiouslyOptimistic next week and could go 3-0.

Kaeptivating appears to be a tough team as he scored over 120 pts this week in a win over Persian Lives Matter.  This was an improvement for Persia as well, scoring 20% more than last week! Way to go gang! A bright spot for both teams was the QB play and you guessed it, their kickers - combined to score over 42 pts each. However, both teams should look into getting a defense though.

  • Another piece of unsolicited advice PLAY TOM BRADY (39.04 pts). The dude is possessed right now. He also plays Jacksonville next week... AH HOY MATY! Won't matter much though as Persia faces Luchesse. Kaep should another test in Week 3 against mokes-a-lot.
  • Kaep beat his 2014 Week 2 score by 40.06 pts.  He's just been waiting to do this. 

I have a feeling that In Russ We Trust and mokes-a-lot are going to be tough this year. Just a feeling. Can't say where it is from, but it is strong in me. I will tell you one thing, In Russ We Trust is confident in his ability to manage his team. He doesn't need a QB (later Romeo), he sure as hell doesn't need a kicker (look out friend, kickers are important). All he needs is Antonio Brown 33.4 and D'Angelo Williams 27.6. mokes-a-lot lost by a mere 1.06.

  • That is a soda at the gas station just down from my house. $1.06.. I lied its $1.07, but that is a small thang man!  Frustrating. Dammit. I mean, that's what a girl would say who was way into fantasy football and cared about it and thought about it all the time and hunted the waiver wire like a gypsy hunts for pockets. Plus, if you were to tell this same girl, excuse me, woman that Manning would pull it together after a rough first half and score 24+, white Boston homer Edelman scores 24 and Charles puts up 18, she would think she is going to win. She didn't though. Math is math. Its a law and on the end of that law is a consequence affixed. That consequence of summing all the points and comparing it to the other team is a loss for mokes. 
The Champ, Mustache Salad, put Tuesdays w/ Megatron to bed! Mustache salad out scored his projected score by 28.54 pts, while his opponent missed his projected score by 17.15 pts. I guess John quit caring when he went to Europe. This was a strong showing for Mustachio, who relied heavily on pain medication to get through the weak. He had a heavy dose of Cardinal. Palmer and Fitz combied 57.90 pts! That's a serious drug. 
  • Pssssttt, Cardinals face the Niners next week. Big Rapist Ben lit them up, FYI. Denver's D put up a whopping 22.6 pts as well to mask the poor performance of Eddie Lacy. I'm like WTF man! TwM just didn't have enough juice in the tank, despite strong appearances from Matt Ryan, Adrian Peterson, and Boldin. 

CaustiouslyOptimistic was pretty chatty early on. Words were exchanged which provided Cobra Kai with some bulletin board material. Cobra's bulletin board motivates him to do better and also reminds him of other things in his life like his grocery list and upcoming events. Cobra pounded C.O. into the ground by 20 pts. Big Ben and A. Robinson just went nutzo with 40.76 + 33.10 = 73.86, just 11.2 pts less than C.O. entire team. Chalk that up as his week, dawg. 
  • Cobra Kai beat his 2014 Week 2 score by 23.08 pts. 
  • C.O. missed his 2014 Week 2 score by just 3.22. However, he improved his score by 34.37% week over week. Moncreif helped provide that lift by scoring 18.9 pts. 

Rolling Gazelems is rolling. Staying steady - averaging 103.95 over his first two games. StraightOuttaGronkton has not been steady. His week over week dropped by over 32% and missed his projected score by almost 20 points. Bringing home the victory was Rolling's WRs Marshall and Decker S.O.G has yet to see Luck really be as big as he was last year. He has thrown 5 picks through his first two games. Odell Beckham has lived up to the hype putting up 24.3 pts. 
  • I can't believe I am going to talk about Kickers and Defense again... So boring... but look. Between Rollings K and DEF he scored 39.20 vs S.O.G net of 3.2. Yuhhh. The Niners put up -3.8. NEGATIVE THREE POINT EIGHT. 

Since no one cares about my team, but me and Jesse doesn't read any of this... I improved the most week over week at 44%, but lets be honest I had a horrible week 1. Jesse's team totally laid an egg and suck. Both of our teams suck, actually. 

Teams that are 0-2:
Optimistic 
Luchesse - 3rd hardest schedule, and has been beaten on average by 29.44
Persia

Teams that are 2-0:
Russ - 2nd toughest schedule
Kaep- faces moke-a-lot who is averaging 107.87
Water 




3 comments:

  1. Lazy commentary. First, the highest score was Mustache Salad with a score of 124.50. Second, the biggest blowout was Mustache Salad and Tuesday's w/Megatron with a margin of victory of 43.88. My guess is that the reason for this careless oversight is that you failed to take into account Monday Night Football (big mistake). I would expect such sloppy analysis from managers like Steven or Scott (either of them), but not you David. So I will consider this an outlier and ignore the mistake. Other than that I enjoyed what you had to say.

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  2. Finally! Some that will call me out. I will make the adjustments accordingly.

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