JJJL by the Numbers: Week 10 2014

With only a few games left in the season, its time to not only look forward, but to look backwards to see what I got right and what I got wrong over some of my various postings. Please refer back to my previous post JJJL by the Numbers, if you actually have the time/give a crap/bored out of your mind/want to laugh at me, for the majority of the below and the draft grades originally given on the message board.

What I got right -

1. Sticking with the numbers on Prayer and Cobra. All year they have been churning out win after win. 
2. Saying that kops and TwM were contenders. I still stand by that. Get em. RAR!
3. Putting Wolf, Kaep and Paragon in the dog house. Playas.. y'all having a rough year. 
4. Having faith in myself. I can still be around in the end... maybe. 

What I got wrong -

1. I broke up the divisions by an eye ball test of who I thought would balance out each other. I tried to split up managers who I thought would be "active" and therefore more successful in managing, ie more competitive. This was probably my biggest oversight as the Sierra League is clearly the better league.  In head to head match-ups, Sierra leads High Desert 16-8. Week 10 was the worst performance by the Sierra League falling 4-2. 
2. Draft Grades... all of them are a JOKE. If I could fit them all on a Laffy Taffy I would send them to the candy makers and they would love it. They would laugh so hard.....Look, you don't have to dig too deep into the grades to find SERIOUS flaws - just like the Banana Laffy Taffys. I gave Paragon Heroes the highest draft grade, an A, and Quixotic Prayer a C... what in heck was I thinking? I wasn't. Was I just trying to create a conversation? Sure... say that now. Get some reactions? My own reaction to that moment in time is, "Are you freaking kidding me." I don't know what was going on, but I was way off the mark. 
3. I should have bought stock in Duke. Never doubt a former Champion, especially when he gets to draft for himself. And, I stand corrected, he is a Badger.
4. I should have sold stock in Ruin and SoL. I wanted them to be better than the record and numbers showed. Despite SoL beating me this week he's no more of a threat than a man who is comfortable in his life and isn't desperate.
5. Selling Pippa stock. He had caught some bad luck early on, but he has battled back hard! 

-------Week 10 Recap-------

Note that all the below charts are points scored for the specified team. 

What a whacky week. Like I said, this week had some major playoff implications for almost everyone in the league - which is safe to say that pretty much every week going forward. The High Desert League posted a 4-2 record against the Sierra League, a first, as their previous high was two wins against the Sierra League.

For the first time all year, we had four teams post season highs for points: Pippa, SOL, Wolf, and Heroes. Also for the first time, we had three teams post their season lows for points: Kaep, Prayer, and Ruin.

This was a huge week for many teams, none more so then Pippa Hills, who rose 4 spots to a #3 rank. Boomshacklaka. I don't want to jinx him and say he is going to make a deep playoff run, but I'm going to. He is going to make a deep playoff run. He wasn't even in the playoff conversation a few weeks ago. Really incredible stuff. And a big week for Bayo'wolf, who has quitely won 3 in a row and is now ranked #9. Duke dropped from #3 to #5 and kops dropped from #4 to #6. Shake em up, shake em up, shake em.

• Is Q.Prayer human!?  This was his lowest point total of the year at 77.56 and Kaeptivating ....... oh Kaep. You failed us! Well, Maclin, who has been a tear, failed us. The Eagles failed a lot of us....The streak continues for Prayer, nine straight wins. Nine. W-9. Over the entire season, Prayer is the only team to average a double digit positive point differential, with just over 19 pts/game; Cobra is the next highest a just over 7 pts/game. Prayer doesn't have a easy road ahead though, with a playoff contending kops, a surging Pippa, the former champ Duke, and an angry Ruin... So basically three tough teams.  

The two top teams don't give a number two, just like Pit Bull, or their number out.

• Cobra does what a Cobra does, showed no mercy to Ruin. He is the only team now (with Prayer lapsing) to never score below 98 points. Which I think is a good indicator of consistency to a game that is called fantasy, aka anything can happen. Have you watched the ABC show? So confusing.... Cobra has been impressive all year and Mr. Peyton Manning has been worth every penny.
• Ruin. Oh, Ruin! She plateaued back in Week 5 and hasn't recovered, with her poorest worst performances of the year coming in back-to-back weeks in 9 and 10. She is averaging just over 85 points a game over the past four weeks AND THAT AINT GUNNA CUT IT. Cutler is falling apart and Forte isn't helping, or can't because the Bears suck. And again, Christie, Michael Crabtree is not the 49ers go-to receiver, and the 49ers do not put up a lot of points. I don't know what is being cooked up in the Brady home in Utah, but they need to get some of that Colorado Brady up in here! Ya know what I mean? That was a stretch if I ever made one.   

Very consistent... Consistently going down. I'm yelling TIMBER!

• Hey, I see you Bayowolf. Trending up in the big world. A season high 126.06 (the last time he scored over 100 was Week 6) points came against a stout kindergarten kops. This was huge win for Wolf - gained a ranking sport - and huge loss for kops - dropped two ranking spots. Wolf is outscoring opponents by ~16 pts/game for the past three weeks. 

The battle for Colin's heart. Bayowolf may have lost the battle, but war is looming.

• Starr and SOL. A lot of missteps in this matchup for me. I am seriously so pissed right now. I totally mismanaged my team, but I tip my cap to Jesse who needed this one badly. Another tip of the cap to Jesse for picking up Shoelace, who has been fantastic. Waiver wire! Waiver wire! Did I mention that Jesse is soulless? He picked up AP. You make me sick. 

Uncanny how closely they resemble each other...

• Probably the biggest story is Pippa. Pippa blows up for 165 points! He is averaging an impressive 140 points over the past three weeks. Don't call it a come back yet as he has a tough next four weeks with Duke, Prayer, Starr and Kops to end his season, all at .500 or above. But be on alert, he's coming into form and you gotta wonder if he can keep the train rollin. He is outscoring opponents by ~48 pts/game over the past three games. 





+47% growth from Week 7 to Week 10. But is it sustainable?



• Give Paragon a break, fellas. No other team has had more points scored against them than Paragon. Even in a week where he scores his season high, he gets clobbered. Thanks Pippa. The highest point total in a week has been against his team 4 x's. No other team has had more than one. Teams are averaging 121 pts/game against Paragon. He has had almost 116 more total points against him than the next highest, Starr, who averages almost 110 pts/game against. Truly a forgettable season. 

When we fall, we fall hard.

• Duke slips to Tuesdays, who had his second worst showing of the season largely due to his starting QB on the bench. In the past two match-ups his QBs have totaled 1.76 (as he has mentioned on the message board). Ouch! Dalton's suckiness really hurts Duke, who has AJ Green as his WR1 and thereby isn't getting the numbers he had last year. Don't discount this W for Tuesdays. This win was huge, who finally got his name sake back. Finally, he deserves to be called Tuesdays with Megatron (TwM). TwM has very favorable next four weeks with only one team with a winning record - Cobra. 

Both of the teams are capable of some big weeks. 

I want to point out that overall, this league is extremely completive with 8 of the 12 teams at or above .500. Coming down the stretch with many teams still in the hunt makes it fun. It looks like Week 11 will be another huge week for playoff hopes and dreams.

If the season ended today: 

1. Q.P. - Bye

2. Cobra - Bye

3. Pippa V 6. kk

4. TwM V 5. Duke

House keeping items: 

1) Trade deadline is Friday, November 21. I was #mistaken. Trade away!